By Karsten Shein
Comm-Multi-Inst
Climate Scientist
The pilot responded to ATC, “8387 Zulu, climbing to FL330, proceeding direct to PIE.” He then added power, passing through 18,000 ft into the flight levels. The copilot adjusted the pressure altimeter to 29.92 inches of mercury. “I always wondered why 18,000 ft is the transition altitude,” said the younger pilot.

Global Forecast System (GFS) model 48-hr forecast 500-mb absolute vorticity map for the North Pacific. Green colors indicate low vorticity, while red areas are high vorticity. The regions where absolute vorticity is increasing rapidly are areas where surface air is rising quickly and storms are likely.

Global Forecast System (GFS) model 48-hr forecast 500-mb winds map for the North Pacific. Large surface weather systems often move in the direction of the 500-mb winds and at about half the speed of those winds.
Freezing rain is most likely to occur right around 5400-m thickness – indicated as 540 decameters on most charts, or, more commonly, referred to as the 540 line. Of course, other factors, such as a warm surface layer in the first few thousand feet above the ground, can affect the accuracy of this rule of thumb.
Karsten Shein is cofounder of 2DegreesC.org. He was director of the Midwestern Regional Climate Center at the University of Illinois, and a NOAA and NASA climatologist. Shein holds a comm-inst pilot license.

